As 2009 has been approaching there has been much anticipation as to what Congress and the President might do with the estate tax. Currently, each individual can pass $2,000,000 free of estate tax to his or her heirs. In 2009, this amount will increase to $3,500,000. In 2010, the estate of a decedent will not pay any estate tax (the exclusion is unlimited) but the heirs of the decedent in 2010 will not receive all of the assets of the decedent with a basis adjustment (the so-called step up in basis). Under current law no income tax is paid by the heir inheriting the decedent’s assets because of this basis adjustment. In 2010, however, the heir will have to use the basis of the decedent (with some exceptions) which means the heir will have to pay tax on the gain when the inherited asset is sold as the decedent would have to do.
In 2011 the estate tax exclusion amount is reduced to $1,000,000 per person and is set to stay at this level indefinitely. (Note: As an aside, remember an individual can pass to a spouse an unlimited amount estate tax free (the so-called marital deduction) and an unlimited amount to a charity (the so called charitable deduction)) During the recent election campaign (and prior to the economic freefall of the U.S. economy) President-elect Obama indicated he would support extending the exclusion of $3,500,000 indefinitely and keeping the current estate tax rate of 45% for the value of the estate above the exclusion amount. With the economic forecast looking dismal for the foreseeable future, will President-elect Obama and the Democratic controlled Congress accept the 2009 exemption amount of $3,500,000 or not?
Remember, during the campaign for President, then Senator Obama indicated anyone earning over $250,000 was wealthy and would likely see the taxes on their income increased under his administration if he had his say. Is $3,500,000 wealthy? Is a millionaire wealthy? I suppose it depends on your perspective. According to the Wealth Report by Robert Frank, as reported in the Wall Street Journal on November 22, 2008 Merrill Lynch reported there were 3,000,000 millionaires (individuals with a net worth of $1,000,000, excluding their personal residence) in 2007. If you count the residences of millionaires in the calculation of who is a millionaire there were 9,000,000 of them in 2004 according to Federal Reserve data. As I have found in my practice there are a significant number of millionaire to be found everywhere. Planning for millionaires is quite common place.
With a national debt of roughly 10.6 trillion (for the most current number go here) one can only expect the estate tax might just be on the agenda of a President and a Democratically controlled Congress notwithstanding the campaign rhetoric and promises. So, what might we come to expect in 2009 in the way of estate tax changes. I have my short list of what I think we might see. We will no doubt know a whole lot more by the end of 2009.
First, I think Congress will act and the President will sign a bill which extends the estate tax exclusion of no more than $3,500,000. It could be less, but I cannot imagine below $2,000,000. I believe the rate will be 45% for all taxable estates above the exclusion amount.
Next, I don’t believe they will eliminate charitable or marital deductions, but will try to make the marital deduction “portable.” This means upon the death of the first of a married couple to die the surviving spouse will inherit so to speak all or a portion of the first to dies exclusion amount, which is not used by the first to die. For example, if the first to die had a taxable estate of $1,000,000, which was distributed to someone other than the surviving spouse and some of the exclusion was used to avoid paying any estate tax, the surviving spouse would receive an additional $2,500,000 of the exclusion (not used by the spouse first to die), which can be used by the second to die.
This will avoid having to undertake some of the the sophisticated planning currently required to be used by the modest millionaires to insure both souse’s exclusions are used. If such a change occurs there will be a need to file an estate tax upon the death of the first spouse (although it may be an abbreviated one). There will also need to be a provision to avoid marrying just to get the exclusion of the first to die. Sounds a bit grizzly, but you can see this happening as there is significant amount of money at stake. Imagine Sue surviving Sam and marrying three more husband. Would she get to have potentially four exclusions plus her own for a total of $17,500,000. The devil will be in the details.
Next, we are likely to see an attack on discounts afforded estates of owners of family entities who create entities for reasons other than non-tax reasons just to get discounts on the value of the interest they own in their family entity. The discount of the value of the interest owned at the time of death of the owner of an interest in the family entity currently enables the decedent’s estate to avoid having to pay as much in estate tax. This “discount planning” has been on the IRS radar screen for some time and might just be eliminated during the upcoming Congressional session.
2009 will be an exciting year for planning for taxable estates. Even with the recent economic downturn there will still be plenty of taxable estates and plenty of estate tax planning. Many clients have been on the fence and avoiding any estate tax planning, not knowing if they should plan or not, while they waited for the estate tax to be possibly eliminated. Although eliminating the estate tax was high on the agenda of the Bush administration the efforts were thwarted by the Democrats as the Republicans never could muster the 60 votes in the Senate to permanently repeal the estate tax. Now that the Democrats are in control of Congress (and the prospects of the Republicans who support repeal of the estate tax being in control of Congress in the forseeable future being a long shot if not impossible for decades to come) elimination of the estate tax is certainly a non-starter and most will be lucky if the $3,500,000 exclusion continues.
Stay tuned. The ride should be an interesting one. The new reform will be a boom to estate planners as they continue to explore ways to leverage the exclusion Congress does let everyone keep. Estate tax planning helped me get my children through college and now will help me help my grandchild (and maybe grandchildren) get through as well.